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The Economy of South Korea in 2023 - Industry & Market Trends

Last Updated: October 30, 2023
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Population

51.709 million

GDP

1.67 trillion

GDP Growth Rate

2.6 %

GDP Per Capita

32418 USD

Land Size

97520 km²

TFR

0.9 Child

Unemployment Rate

2.9 %

Inflation Rate

5.1 %

What is The Overall Outlook in South Korea ?

South Korea, officially known as the Republic of Korea, is located in the southern part of the Korean Peninsula in East Asia. It is the tenth largest economy in the world and has a pivotal position in the world in industry, cutting-edge technology, and even entertainment.

With the surrender of Japan after World War II, South Korea also ended its 35-year occupation and became independent. However, the country was also divided into north and south at 38 degrees north latitude at that time. The failure of subsequent reunification negotiations also triggered the outbreak of the Korean War. South Korea supported by the United States and North Korea supported by communism had a tragic war. Although the war lasted for several years It tends to be stable, but formally speaking, the civil war has not yet ended, adding a major variable to South Korea’s economic and social development.

After the end of the Korean War, South Korea established a military alliance with the United States, and the United States, Japan, and other advanced countries provided South Korea with huge economic and technical assistance, allowing South Korea to quickly enter the Western and Japanese markets, and the rapid growth of exports has brought South Korea a With the immigrant labor force, South Korea’s devastated economy began to soar. The per capita GDP grew rapidly at a rate of 7% per year. Together with Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore, it was called the Four Asian Tigers. This period of time is commonly known as the “Miracle of the Han River.” , during which South Korea transformed from a least developed country to a developed country, setting a record for the world’s fastest per capita GDP growth between 1980 and 1990.

After entering the 21st century, the South Korean economy has shifted from a centrally planned, government-led investment model to a more market-oriented investment model. Thanks to these economic reforms, South Korea has become one of the few growing economies in Asia, has been particularly successful in developing its industrial economy, and is a leader in the automotive, computing, and energy sectors.

The main drivers and variables for South Korea’s current development are changes in population trends, balancing Sino-US diplomacy, supply issues in the domestic labor market, and cost of living.

Among them, South Korea’s population problem is very serious. The total fertility rate of only 0.8 (2021) is not only the lowest in the world, but its already aging population has added pressure on labor, social security, and economic stability. In the next ten years, the population of South Korea is expected to decrease year by year, and the conflicts of domestic citizens on immigration policies will also make the progress of related policies difficult. Like Japan, the policy focus is not limited to childcare and immigration policies, but also to increase the proportion of women in the labor force and allow older citizens to retire later to reduce financial burdens.

South Korea - Real GDP Growth
Note: Real GDP Growth (%) | Forecast After 2023 (IMF)
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Economic Structure

The latest GDP update was in October 2023, updating the data on the contribution of GDP output in various sectors for the year 2022, as a proportion of the total GDP. The data is sourced from the World Bank, IMF, and local government statistics. Predictions on the sources of GDP contribution are from the EIU.

Private Consumption
48.1%
Gov Expenditure
18.8%
Capital Formation
32.2%
Export
48.3%
Import
48.3%
Economic Growth(By Type)
Note: Real GDP Growth (%) | Forecast After 2023 (EIU)

Overall Economic Outlook in South Korea?

South Korea is a very export-oriented economy. Exports account for about 50% of total GDP in 2022. While comparing with other export-oriented economies like Taiwan, it is only two-thirds of the shares, it is however much higher than Japan, which is only 20%.

The economic complexity, measuring a country’s sophistication with their export structure, ranks fifth in the world, showing the resilience of its export economy to a certain extent. South Korea has also felt pressure in recent years as China’s industrial strength has gradually strengthened. Even in its most powerful memory market, rivals with sufficient R&D and manufacturing capabilities have emerged in China.

South Korea’s GDP growth in 2022 is about 2.6%. However, factors such as the global recession (generally estimated that global demand will drop sharply in 2023), China’s growth stagnation, and the extension of the Russia-Ukraine War also make South Korea China’s economic growth will further shrink in 2023, and international institutions (IMF, ADB, EIU) generally believe that its growth will be only 1.5-2%.

However, to a certain extent, this also symbolizes the transformation of South Korea’s economy, gradually shifting from export-led growth to domestic demand, and its private consumption will play an increasingly important role in the next decade.

Population

51.709 million

Land Size

97520 km²

GDP

1.67 trillion

GDP Per Capita

32418 USD

Unemployment

2.9 %

Inflation

5.1 %

Urbanization

81.4 %

TFR

0.9 Child

GDP Per Capita
Note: Real Growth (%) | Forecast After 2023 (IMF)
GDP Per Capita (PPP)
Note: Real Growth (%) | Forecast After 2023 (IMF)
Unemployment Rate
Note: %
Inflation Rate
Note: %

Other Economies

Industry Structure

The latest GDP update was in October 2023, updating the data on the contribution of GDP output in various sectors for the year 2022, as a proportion of the total GDP. The data is sourced from the World Bank, IMF, and local government statistics. Predictions on the sources of GDP contribution are from the EIU.

Agriculture
1.8%
Industry
36.5%
Manufacturing
29%
Service
61.8%
Economic Growth(By Sector)
Note: Real GDP Growth (%) | Forecast After 2023 (EIU)

Demographics Overview

Population +

-26 k people

Birth

286 k people

Death

342 k people

Net Migration

30 k people

South Korea - Population Growth Drivers
Note: % | forecast after 2023
South Korea - Age Structure - Historical & Forecast
Note: % | forecast after 2023

Natural Growth

-1.1 ‰

Net Migration

0.6 ‰

Young Dependency

17.2 %

Old Dependency

23.3 %

South Korea - Median Age
Note: Age
South Korea - Demographic Structure
Source: UN Population; OOSGA Analytics

Political Overveiw

South Korea has had a democratic institution in place since around 1990, and its chaotic but relatively peaceful presidential elections and party rotation every five years. In the most recent South Korean presidential election (2022), Yoon Suk Yeol of the National Power Party defeated Lee Jae-myung of the ruling party at the time by 1% of the votes, and successfully completed the party rotation in the middle of the year.

However, in the previous year’s election, due to the overwhelming majority of 180 seats of the Democratic Party, Yoon Suk-yue also faced a big political problem with the North Korean government. At the same time, North Korea also frequently tested missiles due to factors such as South Korea’s increased exchanges with the United States. , also increased the risk of border conflicts; moreover, the outbreak of domestic protests based on people’s livelihood issues (prices) also brought the issue of political stability to the surface.

The current policy focus of the Yoon Suk Yeol government will mainly focus on the deregulation of the labor market and a series of tax cuts to stimulate the mobility of labor, the momentum of investment and employment, and the stability of the economy. At the same time, the Yoon Suk Yeol government is also actively promoting the investment and development of advanced technology and digital infrastructure, hoping that South Korean companies can continue to maintain their leading position in industrial technology for the next ten years.

South Korea - Government Spending (% of GDP)
Note: (%)|2023後為預測(IMF)

Current Account Balance

29.83 Billion

Current Account Balance (% of GDP)

1.8 %

Gov Net Landing/Borrowing(% of GDP)

-1.6 %

Gov Gross Debt(% of GDP)

53.8 %

South Korea - Current Account Balance
note: (% of GDP) | Forecast After 2023
South Korea - Gross Debt
note: (% of GDP) | Forecast After 2023

Consumer Brief

We have consolidated data on South Korea’s e-commerce, social media, and insights relate to how customers in South Korea make decisions and spend.

Social Media Development, User Demographics, Platforms, and Trends in Japan

Social Media Development, User Demographics, Platforms, and Trends in Japan

Reference
  • Economic Data:OECD, World Bank, IMF、Government Statistics Bureau
  • Currency Exchange:Based on IMF data in 2023/1
  • GDP Growth Projection:OECD、IMF, OECD, EIU、Government Bureau
  • Demographics:UN Population Database
  • Race, Culture, and Languages:CIA Factbook
  • Unemployment Rate Projection:ILO, UNECE
  • Trade:UN Comtrade, UNCTD
  • ICT Infrastructure:ITU
  • Data Calculation & Regression:OOSGA.org
  • Analysis:OOSGA Analytics
  •  
Author: Economic Team, CR Team

We track the latest economic developments from spending, retail, real estate to demographics in major economics around the world.

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